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![]() Third, that November 2016 notation, “Election,” reminds us that politics helped spur the market by some unknowable amount.Second, the technical levels are significantly below the market’s current level.First, the steady 2017 bull market rise offers no foundation building areas that serve as clear support levels.(The current picture is still far from heightened negativity.) It may be during a vicious selloff or a steady fall in prices (like in March 2009). The purpose is to attempt to buy when investors and the media are at their most negative. The emotional picture - A contrarian evaluation of the negativity. The objective is to identify the points at which traders and technically-oriented investors could see weakness and opportunity. The technical picture - An evaluation of graphs to determine what the stock market and individual stocks are doing: both price movements and trading volume. Therefore, we must turn to two non-fundamental areas: (For example, Caterpillar, with miserable earnings, will be selling at its highest price/earnings ratio). Therefore, fundamentals are both poor and misleading for trying to determine when the bottom is near. Moreover, the weak earnings of the time will create seemingly overpriced stocks, especially among the cyclical companies. The only way to answer this question is to forget fundamental valuations. Facts and forecasts will steadily decline as well as become more uncertain. Then, when times get tough for everyone, you will have the cash reserves that can help steady your emotions and accomplish what few do: Buy low. Force yourself to be the first on your block to get panicky. The only way to endure such a period is to avoid being fully invested now. Don't expect them to hold up in such an environment. Even the professionals (fund managers, analysts, and those previously calm advisers) will feel a fearful certainty that the worst is yet to come. They come from the terrible declines/losses, from the awful fundamentals and from the crush of disheartening media coverage, complete with frightening visions of what is coming. Every capitulation-panic-crash period produces immensely powerful, negative emotions. They are confident that they will not be one of those weak investors that succumbs to the bear market and sells everything at the bottom. Investors, encouraged by calm and seemingly knowledgeable advisers, believe that they can ride through a bear market. The common problem is reliance on the misleading refrain, “stay invested because you cannot time the market.” Believing one can ride out a bear market is a set up for major distress if/when this market hits new lows and the fundamentals (which always lag) begin to show why this selloff began in October. Bear markets can decline by any amount (20% is neither a definer of bear markets nor a limit of decline).Bear markets can last from many months to well over a year (2019 could be the year of the bear).These two characteristics of bear markets, when understood, will create dismay: Two negative realities that are missing from investors’ thinking Importantly, while slowness does not always mean a recession will follow, it does raise the risk because recessions always begin with slowing growth. What we are seeing is some “good, but less than expected” business and economy reports that support a slowing growth forecast, the primary concern. This breadth of risk requires time and proof to show its true extent. Moreover, the fundamental concerns behind this bear market are both significant and numerous. The next earnings report season is two months off, and management outlooks will likely contain unenthusiastic expectations and even slowing growth confirmations. ![]() ![]() Yes, but not substantially enough and not soon enough. Unfortunately, that day will be dark – a time when the view of owning stocks turns negative and emotions take over.Īt that time, as in the past, we could see capitulation and panic produce a rout – a crash of prices as sellers’ offers swell and buyers’ bids evaporate. The fully-invested investor group does have another day coming in which it will play a major role in the stock market. Traders are now driving this market. They rule the stock market because fund managers, investment advisors and individuals are either already fully invested (hopeful spectators), or have taken defensive actions based on the bear market’s current level (skeptical viewers).ĬNN's panicky view is coming, but not yet All it takes is a drop through the weak barrier it sits atop to reignite trader selling and short selling. Therefore, with investors sitting out this "dip," the natural next step is for this bear market to slash prices. ![]() ![]() ![]() They also point out that Biden’s team hasn’t lifted sanctions the Trump administration placed on the ICC. Biden’s detractors compare that to Trump’s decision to sell $8 billion worth of weapons to Saudi Arabia, even after Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the 2018 murder of US resident Jamal Khashoggi. Take Biden selling $200 million in missiles to Egypt, a country led by a dictator who has routinely violated human rights, jailing thousands of political dissidents and killing hundreds more. What Americans have gotten instead is a Biden foreign policy that echoes Trump’s more than progressive critics like. Now, Taeb and others are essentially saying, “I told you so.” They argue that two months into Biden’s presidency, it’s clear that “complete, fundamental shift in US foreign policy” hasn’t happened yet. “I hope they recognize that the vast majority of the American people have rejected establishment foreign policy and the trajectory that we’ve been on for decades.” Donald Trump gives a thumbs-up sign through the window of his car. “Americans are looking for a complete, fundamental shift in US foreign policy,” Yasmine Taeb, a senior fellow at the progressive Center for International Policy who’s leading the left’s critique of Biden’s team, told me at the time. As Biden formed a team to do just that, progressives I interviewed couldn’t mask their displeasure. In December, I wrote a story about how Biden wanted the US to pursue a traditional, post-World War II foreign policy to defend the “liberal international order” - essentially the diplomatic and economic rules and norms that run the world. The case for Biden’s foreign policy as the same as Trump’s, briefly explained Any claims that they’re the same are incomplete at best. While there are some similarities between the two presidents, Biden and Trump have extremely different foreign policies. It’s a provocative case, but it’s not very convincing. ![]() Stephen Miles, executive director of the progressive foreign policy group Win Without War, recently told Politico that “There’s this fear of being attacked on the right of not being tough enough on China or Iran or other issues.” The problem, he adds, is “there doesn’t seem to be as much concern about the overwhelming majority of the Democratic Party.” That critique is coming from a small but vocal chorus of analysts, activists, and noted commentators like Noam Chomsky. In effect, they argue that US foreign policy right now is Trump’s with Bidenesque characteristics. Sure, the tone has changed - namely, talk of rebuilding alliances and defending democracy and human rights - but much of the substance remains the same.įor example, Biden has taken an adversarial stance toward China and Russia sold billions in weapons to a dictator in Egypt kept the economic sanctions Trump imposed on Iran and the International Criminal Court (ICC) in place declined to sanction Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman for his role in ordering the killing of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi and is unlikely to drastically slash the Pentagon budget. It goes something like this: Two months into his administration, Biden is pursuing many of the same objectives as his predecessor. There’s a growing argument, coming mostly from the left, that President Joe Biden’s foreign policy is essentially the same as former President Donald Trump’s. ![]() ![]() There are a lot of adjustments in this free Lightroom preset compared to others in our list. And you will also create a more timeless image. It can also be easier to freeze motion without colors. Still, they can be great for sports photography.Ĭhanging photos to black and white can enhance motion because all the distracting colors have been removed. This elegant set of Lightroom presets by The Luxe Lens is not specifically for sports shots. And the clarity separates the subject from the background. The added vibrancy and saturation make the colors pop. And whites and blacks are reduced to add detail and remove the chance of highlights being blown out. This adds more contrast between them and lighter areas. This is because it enhances blues while reducing highlights and reflections.īy adding +100 to the Shadows setting, they become darker. It’s also perfect for any sport near water or under a blue sky. It is best used for water sports, like swimming. The Vibrant Colors Lightroom preset is a free one by Preset Kingdom. These presets are not only for action photography but also for photographing sports models. This variety lets you try several and decide which preset is the best for your image. This Adobe Exchange package includes 10 presets. ![]() This set o Lightroom presets can help you play around with both.Įldamar Studio’s Lightroom presets are cheap and great for many types of images. But black-and-white ones focus on contrast and texture. Color images focus on how colors work together. Turning a color image into a black-and-white photo is not an easy task. And they improve your images without making the look too artificial. This FilterGrade package contains Lightroom presets for black-and-white and color images. These Canon Lightroom Presets by sports photographer Ben Lumley are for Lightroom, Lightroom Classic, and Lightroom Mobile. There is even a mobile version of the Workout Lightroom Presets. And it’s why it’s great for capturing workouts, where the focus is on the people and not on their environment. This makes it easier to focus on the people in your images. They soften your subjects’ skin and separate them from the background. They make your photos appealing by creating a clear and airy atmosphere. This package by 123Presets contains 11 Lightroom desktop presets. There are ones for Lightroom (CC), Lightroom Classic, and Lightroom Mobile. So let’s look at the best sports photography presets out there. You can even use your favorite preset to help define the look of your social media account! The presets you need will depend on the aesthetic you want. So perhaps you want to find a preset that tweaks this to strengthen your images. This can help separate the many parts of your scene. For example, most of them might need a boost in contrast and clarity. You’ll want to look at what connects all the images you are likely to take. Each one concentrates on different details in a photo. Presets that will cover different types of sports might be difficult to find. And it also involves events with fast-moving vehicles like airplanes and cars. Sports photography is a wide-ranging field. We also have a post on how to sell presets too! To learn how to use or create presets, read our article on how to add your own Lightroom presets. ![]() This tells you how to add presets you download to Lightroom. We have a step-by-step tutorial on how to install Adobe Lightroom presets you can check out. Plus, there are a few ways you can do this. Installing Adobe Lightroom presets is easy and only requires a few steps. Luckily, Lightroom also lets you create your own! Installing, Using, and Creating Presets Having your own preset can help define your unique style. ![]() They change everything from highlights and shadows to clarity, color, and saturation. These “filters'” adjust different details. The majority will act as a filter over your scenes, letting you edit them quickly and efficiently. Some presets might only increase the sharpness of an image. If you download a preset, these adjustments were made by other Lightroom users and are available for you to use. Presets are a way to change an image or a batch of images with a single click. You can raise and lower the exposure, play around with the colors, and even change the perspective. Buy from Unavailable What Are Lightroom Sports Presets?Īdobe Lightroom is an editing software program that lets you tweak your digital shots. ![]() ![]() Instead, there is a brief cinematic introduction to the main character (Brad Hawk) who is apparently the new hard-arse in a town ruled by crime and violence. Bloody hell…get with the times old man! That shit was so 1992. You would have thought I’d have learnt by now that this just isn’t enough to sell a game in the modern era but even so, I popped the disc in and was prepping myself for perhaps ten to fifteen stages of ‘scrolling’ through streets and alleyways, punching thugs and making my way towards a boss at the end of each level. I was expecting Urban Reign to be a 3D version of the old-school arcade beat ’em ups. Like its rivals however, Urban Reign isn’t quite the game you might expect and simply expecting it to be a straightforward beat ’em up actually invites disappointment as I recently discovered. ![]() One game that frequently gets brought up when gamers are questing for a good beat ’em up from the new millenium is Namco’s Urban Reign for the PS2. The core beat ’em up objective (to smash the crap out of thugs and hoods) was still there but the purity of the arcade classics was lost. I’ve already reviewed Final Fight Streetwise here but that game – along with Beatdown: Fists of Vengeance – included semi-free roaming gameplay as well as other features such as stat upgrades, side missions and cutscenes. When they did appear, they weren’t quite the same as their 2D forerunners. The PS2/Xbox/GC era was a particular low point as far as beat ’em ups go and there genuinely aren’t many decent ones to speak of. After all, the likes of Fighting Force can hardly be discussed in the same breath as Final Fight…not by anybody with any taste anyway! Developers attempted to take advantage of polygons and update their classic franchises but the results were a mixed bag to say the very least. The beat ’em up is one such genre that flourished in the late 80’s and early 90’s but quickly became irrelevant to the mainstream. Ever since the decline of the arcades and 16-bit home console era, there have been quests to find worthwhile modern examples of the genres that were driven close to exctinction by the arrival of cinematic, story-driven games. ![]() ![]() ![]() It's a good idea to know these terms and what they mean because each component of an axe head - the blade/bit, toe, heel, and butt - can have a different shape, size, and sharpness depending on the task at hand. For axe heads with only a single edge, the side that's not sharpened is known as the butt. The top corner of the blade is known as the toe, whereas the bottom corner is the heel. How Much is a Antique Adze Prices for an antique adze can differ depending upon size, time period and other attributes at 1stDibs, they begin at 525 and can go as high as 9,800, while the average can fetch as much as 1,960. ![]() ![]() First of all, the blade or bit is the sharpened end of an axe head designed for cutting or splitting, and some are even made with a double-bit where both ends are sharpened. Antique Primitive Adze for Woodworking and Timber Framing Hand Forged 9 Blade Pre-Owned 19.99 bows3narrows (35) 100 or Best Offer +16.30 shipping Sponsored Antique Collins Legitimus Htfd Shipwright's Lipped Adze,2lbs.12.2oz,EXC,W/Handle Pre-Owned 99.99 Top Rated Plus Buy It Now groberts1 (19,855) 100 +20. Antique Adz primitive adze signed ship wright antique tool collection ship construction (668) 175.00 Curved bowl adze, Handmade Adze, Forged Tools, Carpentry Tool, Carpentry Adze, Woodcarving Adze (32) 165. Each antique adze bearing Folk Art hallmarks is very popular. To best understand the design and intended use of any given axe, let's take a good, long hard look at the head and get to know its parts. Antique Blacksmith Hand Iron Adze Wood Tool Brand New C 216.46 antiquenauticalmart (430) 100 Was: C 240.51 10 off or Best Offer Free shipping from India Sponsored ANTIC Hand forged bowl adze Pre-Owned C 135.87 kivihr (1,692) 100 Buy It Now +C 48. While a typical axe handle is made from a handful of materials, such as wood, fiberglass, steel, or plastic, most quality axe heads are forged from the strength of steel. Constructed of two main components, a handle and an axe head, today, there are countless styles of axes to help tackle a wide variety of tasks. Axes are an important tool that humankind has relied on for centuries. ![]() ![]() ) The Counting of the Omer also reminds us of the significance of receiving the Law at Mount Sinai, which occurred 50 days after our Passover deliverance from Egypt. (An omer is the same amount of manna they were to gather each day. Through the counting, the Israelites were to remember God's faithfulness and provision toward them, which included leading them out of Egypt and providing them with manna in the wilderness. This period was the time between the barley harvest and the wheat harvest. (See Leviticus 23:15–16 and Deuteronomy 16:9–12.) An omer is a measurement of grain, referring to the wave offering the priest made on the day after Passover. The Lord commanded the Jewish people to “count the omer,” or count day by day, for 49 days (seven weeks) from Passover toward Shavuot. Nelson and Sons.Join us on a journey from deliverance to destiny as we move from Passover & Resurrection to Shavuot & Pentecost through the Counting of the Omer. Easton's Bible Dictionary (New and revised ed.). This article incorporates text from a publication now in the public domain: Easton, Matthew George (1897).Olitzky, Marc Lee Raphael An Encyclopedia of American Synagogue Ritual - 2000 "Once the omer offering was discontinued following the destruction of the Temple, the rabbis invited the community to count (lis-por sefirah) the 49 days." the remnants of the log of oil of the leper, and the remnants of the omer, the two loaves of bread," ^ Michael Katz (Rabbi), Gershon Schwartz Searching for Meaning in Midrash: Lessons for Everyday Living - 2002 "Twenty-four priestly gifts were presented to the Kohanim - twelve in the Temple and twelve throughout the borders.^ Josephus, Antiquities 3.250-251, in Josephus IV Jewish Antiquities Books I-IV, Loeb Classical Library, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, 1930, pp.^ The word reishit means "beginning" the usual word for "first-fruits" ( bikkurim) is not used in this passage.The Levites themselves were also offered to God by Aaron as a wave offering. Both being given to the priests as kohanic gifts. ![]() īoth tenufah and terumah are often mentioned together. In the Septuagint, tenufah was translated aphorisma (ἀφόρισμα). The noun tenufah (waving) is formed from the verb nuf in the same way as terumah, the heave offering, is formed from rum "heave." After the ritual, the wave-offering then became the property of the priests. Various other offerings are also described as being waved as part of their ritual. For example, the first day of the omer is counted on the second night of Passover (which precedes the second day, as Jewish days begin in the evening). This is a count of 49 days beginning with the omer offering, and concluding with the holiday of Shavuot (which is the 50th day)įor rabbinic Jews, the count is performed at night. ![]() ![]() Counting of the Omer Īlong with the offering of the omer offering, the counting of the Omer begins. The omer offering was discontinued following the destruction of the Second Temple. According to Karaite Judaism, it was offered on the Sunday occurring within Passover. This phrase was variously interpreted (see Counting of the Omer): According to rabbinic tradition, the omer offering was offered on the second day of Passover, the 16th day of Nisan. The offering was made on "the morrow after the day of rest". ![]() The leftover of the korban are kept by the kohen and was listed as one of the twenty-four priestly gifts. Thereafter all are permitted, publicly or individually, to begin harvest. Josephus describes the processing of the offering as follows:Īfter parching and crushing the little sheaf of ears and purifying the barley for grinding, they bring to the altar an issaron for God, and, having flung a handful thereof on the altar, they leave the rest for the use of the priests. 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![]() The aimless spells aren't exactly helped by Lasse Hallström's trademark dry storytelling, which, like it usually is, is controlled enough to sustain, not simply a certain degree of entertainment value, but a reasonably brisk pace through and through, with moments of tender dramatic thoughtfulness, but also quiets the film down to the point of blanding things up and often settling a sense of dramatic momentum. All the layers of this film are worthy, make no mistake, but there's just way too many of them for the film to keep consistent with its structure, and yet, bloating doesn't end with the material, as filler also has its share of overblown spots that aren't draggy to the point of monotony, or even to the point of slowing down momentum all that glaringly, yet remain draggy to the point of moments of aimlessness. Wilbur Larch character struggling with personal struggles and the struggles of the orphans he cares for. Nevertheless, this interpretation of such a story gives it its all, perhaps too much so, as the film ambitiously bloats its dramatic narrative with too many characters and layers to keep up with, to the point of focal unevenness which derives from jarring alternations between the story of Tobey Maguire's Homer Wells character finding his adult life in the real world, and the story of Michael Caine's Dr. Very '90s in look, structure and overall feel, this film is formulaic enough in direction, and when it comes to the story itself, as worthy as it is, it's rarely anything all that new, being nothing short of predictable, even in concept. ![]() Yeah, "Dear John" was decent, but forget "Safe Haven", unless it's a safe haven for children, because Hallström seems to know what he's doing there, at least up to a point. Now, that isn't to say that this film isn't good, but it is to say that Hallström had taste when he dulled things down a bit, at least until that taste took a sudden drop once he ostensibly started reading Nicholas Sparks books. That Swede can make some pretty slow films, but boy, he knows how to make them good, or at least he did with something as solid as "What's Eating Gilbert Grape". Eh, to tell you the truth, I wouldn't expect all that much excitement out of a frat run by Michael Caine, because as charming as he is, and as much as he works on his American accent, he's just so British that he can sure dry a room up, even without Lasse Hallström's presence. Well, Tobey Maguire is here, so the excitement behind that frat probably fluctuates, looking at how quickly Maguire can go from subdued to all screamy and whatnot. People probably don't want to, because they don't really want to make light of an orphanage or something, and because it couldn't possibly be all that exciting of a frat house if it's themed around something as relaxing as cider or something. I would have liked more time to be spent with the characterizations, though the film has many big personalities to explore.ĭon't tell me you haven't thought of it, because I can't believe no one is joking about how much that title sounds like a generic frat house chant or something. However, I found it to be largely authentic in its execution, and often moving. Overall, one could say that Cider House Rules does flirt with melodrama. It doesn't feel manipulative, rather it feels inquisitive in its approach, and non-judgmental in its observations. Director Lasse Hallstrom fills the screen with beautiful visuals, and a strong pace. I would count this is perhaps Tobey Maguire's best performance, with excellent chemistry between him and Charlize Theron. The performances are very strong all around, each adding their own layer to the narrative. The films focus seems to be not so much on individual stories, rather the tapestry they form, and how these relationships form to create such a fantastical, yet brutal world. There are many story lines introduced, with Homer anchoring the entire story. This really sets the stage for the film, which has a bit of a vintage feel to it. It is simply brilliant, resonating deeply, and being enchanting, sad, and reminiscent. Uniquely, the best thing about Cider House Rules is the score. ![]() Set during World War II, Cider House Rules tells the story of a young man, Homer Wells, who spent his entire life in an Orphanage, seemingly groomed as the successor for the caretaker, only to embark on a journey of his own. ![]() Revisiting it 15 years after its release date, I couldn't help but be impressed by the shear ambition on screen and the resulting emotions. Orphans, a world war, lost souls, tragedy, and yet an underlying current of hope and love, Cider House Rules is a drama that has it all. ![]() |
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